2 years seems longer than people generally expected. E.g. Polymarket bettors thought there was only a 14% chance of 2+ years:
I’ve seen reports of Caroline and her family looking shocked at the sentence, but I’ve also seen reports of them smiling when she was getting praised earlier in the hearing, so it’s possible they just got their hopes up at the start and then had them dashed. Most likely they were expecting lower before they walked into the courtroom though, since probation recommended no prison time.
It would be a phenomenal turn of events if she joins Ryan now in admitting to perjury and speaking out about the government’s false narrative…but if she didn’t have the courage to stand up to the government before, I doubt she does now. Ryan at least refused to lie in Sam’s trial.